The Indicator
This indicator has two aspects: (1) the percentage of streams with
at least one day of no flow (also referred to as zero flow) in a
year and (2) for sites with at least one day of zero flow, the duration
of zero flow events, compared to a long-term average (50 years in
this case). Together, these two variables help describe both the
frequency and duration of zero-flow events. Changes in either of
these could have significant effects on aquatic and riparian species.
Relatively intact/undisturbed watersheds (including their upland,
riparian, and wetland components) are capable of maintaining the
maximum duration of streamflow their climates will support. When
soil conditions and the kinds and proportions of vegetation promote
the infiltration of moisture falling in the watershed, and when
evapotranspiration and groundwater recharge are in balance, rapid
loss of moisture to overland flow is minimized and long-duration,
frequently perennial (i.e., yearround) flow is maintained. Intact
riparian areas and wetlands are capable of retaining water during
high-flow periods and metering out stored moisture during periods
of low flowfurther supporting longer duration, or perennial
flow.
Conversely, the increase of impervious surfaces through soil compaction
or development and/or the loss of protective vegetation result in
increased overland flow and rapid runoff eventsdepleting moisture
storage to maintain long-duration flows. Improved management of
grazing that promotes stream-side vegetation can lead to increased
stream flow. In contrast, moisture loss from excessive evapotranspiration
caused by plant community imbalances can also reduce the amount
and duration of stream flowthis is attributed to encroachment
of pinyon-juniper woodlands, Western juniper, and other species
that are not actively managed. Changes in annual weather patterns
or long-term climatic changes also influence streamflow quantity
and flow duration.
The Data
Data Source: Data reported here are from the U.S. Geological
Survey (USGS) stream gauge network. USGS has placed stream gauges
and maintained flow rate records throughout the United States since
the end of the 19th century.
Data Collection Methodology: Stream gauging data are collected
using standard USGS protocols.
Data Manipulation: The goal of the initial data manipulation
was to identify stream gauges in watersheds where more than 50
percent of the land cover is grassland or shrubland. Each site
was referenced to a watershed cataloguing unit (known as a 4-digit
Hydrologic Unit Code, or HUC4) using latitude and longitude. Grassland
and shrubland were defined using the National Land Cover Dataset
(see http://www.epa.gov/mrlc/nlcd.html)
using land cover categories 51 (shrubland), 71 (grassland/herbaceous),
and 31 (bare rock, sand, clay) (see http://landcover.usgs.gov/classes.asp
and the technical
note for the national extent indicator. The HUC4s were also
paired with their corresponding ecoregions (see below for description
of the ecoregions used). Only sites with greater than 50% grass/shrub
cover were used in the analysis.
The number of sites with at least one no-flow day in a year was
determined for each water year from 1950 to 1999. The corresponding
percentage value for that year was also calculated as 100 x (number
of sites/total sites). The percentage values were then averaged
over each decade (i.e., 1950s, 1960s, 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s).
This procedure was followed for all sites with greater than 50%
grassland/shrubland cover as well as for each ecoregion.
For the analysis of duration of zero-flow, only sites with at least
one no-flow day in each decade between October 1, 1949, and September
31, 1999, were considered. The analysis determined whether there
was a substantial increase, substantial decrease, or minimal change
in the number of no-flow days, compared to the long-term (50-year)
average for each stream. These categories are defined by the percent
change in average zero-flow days, as compared to the long-term average,
on a stream-by-stream basis. Thus, a substantial increase
is defined as an increase of more than 100 percent in the duration
of zero flow, or a change from perennial (no zero-flow) to intermittent.
Likewise, a substantial decrease is defined as a decrease
of at last 50 percent in the duration of zero flow, or a change
from intermittent to perennial. Minimal change is defined
as anything between a 100% increase and a 50% decrease.
Data analysis was conducted by David Raff, Department of Civil
Engineering, Colorado State University, and N. LeRoy Poff, Department
of Biology, Colorado State University.
Ecoregions: This indicator is reported using an ecoregional
approach developed by the USDA Forest Service (Bailey 1995). The
Bailey system has several levels into which the United States may
be divided, based on dominant biological and physical attributes.
The scheme has three domains, 13 divisions, and 52 provinces. We
have chosen to report this indicator on the basis of divisions.
We selected three major suites of Baileys divisions:
- Desert shrub ecoregion, composed of the following Baileys
divisions: 320 (tropical/subtropical desert division), M320 (tropical/subtropical
desert divisionmountain provinces), 340 (temperate desert
division), M340 (temperate desert divisionmountain provinces)
- Grassland/steppe ecoregion, composed of the following Baileys
divisions: 250 (prairie division), 330 (temperate steppe division),
M330 (temperate steppe divisionmountain provinces), 310
(tropical/subtropical steppe division)
- California/Mediterranean, composed of the following Baileys
divisions: 260 Mediterranean division, M260 (Mediterranean division,
mountain provinces) See http://www.fs.fed.us/colorimagemap/ecoreg1_divisions.html
for full definitions and a map showing the individual divisions.
Data Access: The data records used in this study are available
on the Internet in the form of daily streamflow values reported
as the average volume of water per second over a 24-hour period
(http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/discharge/).
References
Bailey, R.G. 1995. Description of the ecoregions of the United
States. 2nd ed. rev. and expanded (1st ed. 1980). Misc. Publ. No.
1391 (rev). Washington, DC: USDA Forest Service.
Chaney, E., W. Elmore, and W.S. Platts. 1990. Managing change:
Livestock grazing on western riparian areas. Washington, DC: U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, General Accounting Office.
General Accounting Office. 1988. Public rangelands: Some riparian
areas restored but widespread improvement will be slow. RCED-88-105.
Washington, DC: GAO.
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